Sometime, I think early, in my years at University of Michigan. I discovered somehow the following phenomenon.
Begin with any positive integer then define for
let
where
. If ever
then
In fact, it would seem that, no matter which number you start with this will always happen.
For example if you begin with it takes 397 steps to stabalize at
. On the other hand if you begin with
then
so
etc. In otherwords, sometimes it may happen soon, sometimes it may take rather a long time.
Only recently I realized that the possibility that this always stabilizes should not be very surprising. Suppose that prior to stability the value behaved randomly. If
then there would be a
chance that
. Since
grows by no more than n, at some point we must have
and so
. At that point, if we haven’t already stabilized the probability that we eventually stabilize is
. Noting that the partial sums of this series are
we deduce that the limit is equal to 1. In otherwords the probability of never stabilizing is zero.




